Descending Broadening Wedge
Definition & Identification
A Descending Broadening Formation is formed by two diverging downward-sloping trendlines:
- Resistance line: descending, connecting lower highs.
- Support line: descending more steeply, connecting lower lows.
- The price swings expand over time, producing a downward-tilted megaphone.
- Volume often grows as volatility increases.
This formation tilts bearish but can resolve in either direction.
Pattern Psychology
The descending broadening formation reflects increasingly chaotic selling and bargain-hunting:
- Sellers drive prices lower with each swing, but buyers step in earlier each time, widening the range.
- Each rally is met with selling, but bears show signs of losing control.
- The expanding swings represent volatility and indecision.
Resolution comes when:
- Breakdown: Bears push decisively through support, continuing the downtrend.
- Breakout: Bulls absorb selling, producing a strong reversal rally.
This structure often forms during panic phases in downtrends.
Reliability Stats
Bulkowski’s data:
- Upward break frequency: ~54%.
- Downward break frequency: ~46%.
- Average rise after breakout: ~34%.
- Average decline after breakdown: ~19%.
- Failure rate: ~13%.
- Throwback/pullback frequency: ~60%.
Unlike the ascending version, the descending broadening formation slightly favors bullish outcomes.
Trade Plan
Entry:
- Buy breakout above resistance.
- Short breakdown below support.
Stop loss:
- Longs: below most recent swing low.
- Shorts: above most recent swing high.
Targets: Height of formation projected from breakout. Secondary = prior resistance/support.
Invalidation: Opposite breakout cancels thesis.
Nuances & Common Traps
- False breakouts: Particularly upward, if volume is weak.
- Swing trading temptation: Range expands, but predicting reversals is unreliable.
- Steep slopes: Very steep descents may signal capitulation, not controlled patterning.
When to Skip
- If no clear broadening behavior (needs expanding swings).
- If pattern duration is too short.
- If breakout occurs without volume confirmation.
Summary
The Descending Broadening Formation is tilted bearish but breaks upward slightly more often (~54%). It signals panic selling giving way to volatility and potential reversal. Confirmation and volume are key to trading success.